New savings package should ensure continued delivery of public services, experts suggest
Türkiye has unveiled a new savings plan to redefine public spending and enhance efficiency. The plan, announced on Monday, will prioritize essential state investment projects while curbing unnecessary expenditures.
Global factors, including the COVID-19 pandemic, high inflation, exchange rate fluctuations and political uncertainties, have contributed to economic slowdown and rising unemployment rates in Türkiye.
Despite challenges such as natural disasters, Türkiye’s low-interest rate policy has helped mitigate unemployment and the economic slowdown compared to other countries. The Minister of Treasury and Finance has implemented measures to transition from a political economy to a real economy, but these have not yielded the desired results over time.
The savings package aims to proactively address economic challenges, potentially involving reviewing public expenditures, tax policy changes, and business incentives. Possible policy tools include adjustments to interest rates, reserve requirements, open market operations, tax policy changes and public spending adjustments.
Savings and efficiency policies require action from both the government and individuals/businesses, focusing on improving resource utilization and budget performance.
Past economic crises have seen savings predominantly affect household budgets, leading to high interest rates on consumer loans and inflation. Due to economic conditions, businesses also face challenges in accessing finance.
It’s suggested that the upcoming package will likely target the public sector, but measures should be balanced to ensure continued delivery of public services and support economic growth.
Expert Ozsoy questions the package’s efficiency
After Minister Simsek’s announcement, Murat Ozsoy, the second expert, raised doubts about the package’s efficiency, highlighting that implementing measures and their impact on the economy and people’s finances will become apparent.
The government’s announcement of the savings package was important for two main reasons. First, it signaled the monetary policy’s efforts to combat inflation and the steps the public finance policy took to achieve coordination between both policies. Second, while expecting savings from the public, the government needed to demonstrate a pioneering attitude.
Ozsoy was expecting answers to the following questions before today’s announcement regarding these two crucial points:
- In which areas will savings be made?
- Within what timeframe will these savings contribute to the government budget, and how much will they amount to?
- What percentage of contribution to lowering inflation is expected from this package?
Frankly, we did not receive specific answers to these questions. There was a rough mention of a contribution of ₺100 billion. Considering that the budget revenues announced for 2024 are ₺11 trillion and the budget expenditures are ₺8.04 trillion, with an expected budget deficit of ₺2.6 trillion for this year, Ozsoy finds the content of today’s savings package weak compared to this budget deficit.
Moreover, after implementation, it will take time to see the direct effects of the measures mentioned in the package. The impact of these decisions on the general economy and the financial lives of the common public will not be immediately noticeable.
For this savings package to show prominent results, Ozsoy suggested economic management.
It would be beneficial if the government regularly reports on how much savings have been made in the public sector on a monthly or quarterly basis, and how these savings have been used as a support mechanism, especially in areas where the low-income segment is in need. If such a method is followed and the low-income citizens feel the steps taken under this package, the policy would have achieved its goal.