US officials expect Israeli retaliation against Iran before presidential election day

U.S. officials expect Israel to launch a counterattack against Iran before Nov. 5, thrusting Middle East tensions into the spotlight just days before the U.S. presidential election, according to sources familiar with the situation.

The anticipated timeline for Israel’s retaliation follows an Iranian strike earlier this month, though Israeli officials stress their response is not directly related to U.S. election timing.

Sensitive timing for US politics

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly mindful of the political climate in the U.S., with some officials saying he is acutely aware of the potential impact of Israeli military actions on the American election.

While the growing conflict in the Middle East has become a persistent issue for President Joe Biden, his administration has faced pressure from both progressives and Republicans over its handling of the crisis.

Biden administration applies pressure on Israel

In recent weeks, the Biden administration has urged Israel to improve humanitarian conditions in Gaza. A letter from Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin warned that military assistance could be at risk if aid access is not increased.

The letter’s deadline for action falls after Election Day, underscoring the complex dynamics at play.

Military aid to Israel continues

Despite the pressure, the U.S. continues to provide military support to Israel. Components of an advanced air defense system have already been sent to Israel, highlighting the close military cooperation between the two nations as tensions escalate.